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Data guru startled as ‘ballooning’ numbers show GOP ‘on track to lose’

Republicans are on the wrong track for holding onto their congressional majorities, according to a new data analysis.
CNN's Harry Enten crunched the numbers on a series of new polling that found Americans are concerned about the direction the country is headed, and the data analyst said they seem to be in the mood for a change in leadership heading into next year's midterm elections.
"I like going traveling, we all do," Enten said. "Look, you know what it was, the NBC News poll came out this weekend, and I saw this wrong track number, and it just kind of jumped out to me because it was 66 percent, and one of the things I always like to look at is, you know, Donald Trump historically has done better than his polling suggested. But these right track-wrong track numbers have generally tracked with what actually the country is feeling. We see 66 percent there, more than three in five Americans who say the country is on the wrong track. Ipsos, 61 percent, MU, Marquette University Law School, 64 percent, Gallup, 74 percent of Americans say they are dissatisfied with the state of the nation."
"You see it on your screen right there, and all of these numbers, all of these numbers that I could find were the highest percentage who said that the country was on the wrong track since Donald Trump took office," Enten added. "It's not just Trump's poll numbers, it's disapproval that's going higher and higher and higher. It's the wrong track numbers that are going higher and higher, as well."
That's quite a turnaround from the start of Trump's second term, Enten said.
"Yeah, it's a huge change – it's a huge change," he said. "Think that the country is on the wrong track or the right track, you go back to April, May – look, the clear majority of Americans thought that the country was on the wrong track, at 58 percent, but you see 38 percent, a 20-point difference here. Look at that: What we've seen is a ballooning of this, a ballooning. Now you take the average of the polls, right, and now we're talking well north on average."
"Two and three Americans say that the country is on the wrong track now," Enten added. "Less than three in 10 Americans say that the country is on the right track, and when we look at this back in the going into the 2024 election, right, the election in which the Democratic Party was pushed out of power, this number looks a whole heck of a lot. This right track number looks a whole heck of a lot what it looked like going into 2024 election. This 66 percent looks a whole heck of a lot like that number going into the 2024 election."
That's an ominous sign for Republicans heading into next year's election, he said.
"President's party didn't lose House seats, midterms since 1978, percentage said the country was on the wrong track, 46 percent in 2002, 38 percent in 1998," Enten said. "The 66 percent now, the 66 percent, a lot of numbers on the screen right now who say the country is on the wrong track? This doesn't look anything like those midterms where the president's party didn't lose. The Republican Party is on track to lose the House of Representatives if the wrong track numbers look anything like they do right now."
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Trump Cabinet secretaries race to put out statements supporting Susie Wiles

Almost all of President Donald Trump's Cabinet secretaries quickly released statements supporting White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles after she criticized them in an interview with Vanity Fair.
"The article published early this morning is a disingenuously framed hit piece on me and the finest President, White House staff, and Cabinet in history," Wiles wrote Tuesday on X. "None of this will stop our relentless pursuit of Making America Great Again!"
Many of the Cabinet secretaries quoted Wiles in responding.
"Susie is an exceptional Chief of Staff, and her tireless dedication, loyalty, and commitment to the President are beyond reproach. Powerful leadership often works quietly – never seeking credit and always relentlessly driving results. Our Chief exemplifies that," Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent wrote. "Our Administration is united under the leadership of President Trump, and Susie's extraordinary attention to detail, diligence, and dedication to our cause is at the center of our efforts."
"These inflammatory and outright false statements will not be tolerated," Energy Secretary Chris Wright agreed. "Susie Wiles isn't just an extraordinary strategist… she's sharp, authentic, and steady under pressure. She is one of the most competent, principled, and courageous leaders I have ever worked with, and I am honored to stand alongside her every day."
Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer called Wiles "a great friend, mentor, and the architect behind President Trump's successful first months in office."
Education Secretary Linda McMahon insisted that Wiles was "a force of nature - the shrewdest and most loyal Chief of Staff."
Housing and Urban Development Secretary Scott Turner, Interior Secretary Doug Burgum, Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins, Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy, and FBI Director Kash Patel also expressed support.
"The radical left is at it again, trying to create discord on President Trump's team. It won't work because we know & love @SusieWiles," Duffy wrote.

