What the death of Hezbollah’s leader means for the Middle East

An Iranian woman wrapped in a flag holds a photo of a man with a gray beard, as well as the flags of Palestine and Iran.

An Iranian woman holds a photo of Hassan Nasrallah and the flags of Palestine and Iran on October 2, 2024, in Tehran, Iran. | Majid Saeedi/Getty Images

Israel successfully killed Hezbollah’s longtime leader with an airstrike in Beirut last week, part of a flurry of attacks in its ongoing offensive against Lebanon that has since escalated to an invasion

Hassan Nasrallah, 64, had led the militant organization for over three decades and oversaw its transformation from militia group to powerful political organization in Lebanon. His death, according to Wall Street Journal reporter Jared Malsin, leaves the group with a significant leadership void. 

Nasrallah was key to Hezbollah’s rise as the world’s most powerful nonstate armed force, a role it pursued with the backing of Iran. The group, which has been designated a foreign terrorist organization by the US, used suicide bombings, kidnappings, and missile strikes to challenge American and Israeli influence in the region, in addition to its political heft. Nasrallah was known for his charisma and fierce determination, and his speeches were followed closely throughout the Arab world, not just in Lebanon.

He was equally admired and detested in the region for Hezbollah’s role in standing up against — and at times becoming — an invading force.

Malsin, Middle East correspondent for the Wall Street Journal, talked with Today, Explained host Sean Rameswaram about Nasrallah’s rise to power and what his death means for the future of Hezbollah.

Below is an excerpt of their conversation, edited for length and clarity. There’s much more in the full podcast, so listen to Today, Explained wherever you get your podcasts, including Apple Podcasts, Google Podcasts, Spotify, and Stitcher.

Jared Malsin

Hassan Nasrallah, the secretary general of Hezbollah, was one of the most important figures in the Middle East. He became the leader of Hezbollah in 1992 and since then has led this transformation of Hezbollah from a militia group into a powerful political organization that has elected MPs to the Lebanese Parliament, that has members of the cabinet, and is also the most important arm of Iranian influence in the region. On the one side, he was a charismatic leader who was seen as one of the few leaders in the Middle East who stood up to Israel militarily. On the other side, he was labeled a terrorist by the United States and Israel. So there’s going to be a lot of people celebrating his death and a lot of people mourning him.

Sean Rameswaram

Can you tell us how he got to be that towering figure? Where does his story begin?

Jared Malsin

His story begins in the early 1980s with the formation of Hezbollah. Israel invaded Lebanon in 1982. At that time, this was a small group that was operating in cells and didn’t even announce its presence publicly for a few years. In 1978 and ’79, you have the Iranian Revolution where there was an uprising against the Shah of Iran that was just an earthquake that shook the region. Nasrallah studied in Iran, rubbed shoulders with a lot of people who were involved in that movement, and there was kind of this awakening of ordinary people protesting in Iran could overthrow the Shah of Iran. It was this idea of “We can do anything.” And he returned to Lebanon where he went into this guerrilla movement. 

The other thing to explain why Nasrallah was so important is that he was a charismatic public speaker. Every time he went on TV, it was an event. I have seen this over the course of more than a decade of reporting in the Middle East — when he would get on TV here in Lebanon, Palestinians, people in Egypt and Jordan, listened to what he said.  He would give these speeches where everyone is hanging on his every word. He liked to crack jokes — [for instance] during the Bush administration, he’s talking about John Bolton, and he says, “This is the American ambassador, Bolton, or whatever his name is … He’s a very funny-looking guy with his mustache …” and so on. And then there’s uproarious laughter. In addition to being the leader of the world’s most heavily armed militia and one of the most powerful political parties in Lebanon, [Nasrallah] also had this ability to directly connect with the public that broadened his appeal.

Sean Rameswaram

Can you tell us about some of his biggest wins in his time in power?

Jared Malsin

There’s one main win and it’s the Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon in 2000, which was the culmination of this 18 years of insurgency that Hezbollah had been fighting against the Israelis. They launched these attacks on Israeli forces, there was an insurgency, and then the Israelis withdrew without a peace treaty. And no one else in the region was able to do that. Israel has a qualitative military edge over every other country around it. They have nuclear weapons, they have fighter jets. And here is a group of guerrillas who, with the help of Iran but fighting with small arms and so on, was able to achieve that. And that inspired a lot of people. 

The other one is 2006 when Hezbollah captured some Israeli soldiers in a raid across the border and took them back into Lebanon. It bordered on military disaster for the Israelis because they went into Lebanon. Israeli military officials will tell you that they were unprepared at that time for what they found, which is that you had a group fighting for their own country. They know the terrain. They had anti-tank missiles and were able to pierce the armor of more than 20 tanks. 

Sean Rameswaram

That might be why Nasrallah will be missed in the coming months, years. But you also alluded to people celebrating his death. Why will people be celebrating, including not just Israelis, but Arabs in the region and around the world?

Jared Malsin

Right, this is really important. You saw over the weekend, for example, people celebrating in rebel-held Syria. Nasrallah decided to send his troops into Syria to fight [alongside] the regime because they made a decision to side with these states that are backing [them] even if it meant siding with a brutal regime that was repressing its own people. It was a turning point, where instead of fighting as a guerrilla force against an invading army, they were acting as an invading army, fighting against the Syrian rebels. That’s why across the region it’s incredibly polarized. There’s going to be a lot of people celebrating his death and saying good riddance. Even here in Lebanon, for example, there are people who absolutely loved him. There are people who absolutely hated him. And I think there are a lot of people who feel genuinely mixed about it.

Sean Rameswaram

Is there another Nasrallah waiting in the wings? Do we know what comes next for Hezbollah?

Jared Malsin

We don’t know yet. They have not named a successor yet, but there have been a whole series of senior Hezbollah leaders who have been killed in the last few months. So we’re talking about close to a generation of senior leaders, founding members of the group that have already been killed.

Sean Rameswaram

You know, we had a guest on the show last week [Nick Paton Walsh], who said it’s important to remember that “destroying their adversary’s capabilities in the immediate future doesn’t leave you safe in the longer term, because dead men have sons who come back more angry.” 

Jared Malsin

There’s no wiping out Hezbollah. We’ve seen this with the war in Gaza, with Hamas, which is a much smaller, much less well-armed, less well-trained group. It has been able to outlast a massive Israeli military operation in a tiny place, the Gaza Strip. Hezbollah is a larger group that is much more heavily armed, has many more advantages in terms of geography, in terms of its ability to re-arm itself, and that has a history of regenerating over the years. So over the long term, Hezbollah isn’t going to go anywhere, even if it is significantly weakened.

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A reckoning awaits these out-of-touch lawmakers hopelessly in denial



Last month, some House members publicly acknowledged that Israel has been committing genocide in Gaza. It’s a judgment that Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch unequivocally proclaimed a year ago. Israeli human-rights organizations have reached the same conclusion. But such clarity is sparse in Congress.

And no wonder. Genocide denial is needed for continuing to appropriate billions of dollars in weapons to Israel, as most legislators have kept doing. Congress members would find it very difficult to admit that Israeli forces are committing genocide while voting to send them more weaponry.

Three weeks ago, Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D-MI) introduced a resolution titled “Recognizing the genocide of the Palestinian people in Gaza.” Twenty-one House colleagues, all of them Democrats, signed on as co-sponsors. They account for 10 percent of the Democrats in Congress.

In sharp contrast, a national Quinnipiac Poll found that 77 percent of Democrats “think Israel is committing genocide.” That means there is a 67 percent gap between what the elected Democrats are willing to say and what the people who elected them believe. The huge gap has big implications for the party’s primaries in the midterm elections next year, and then in the race for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination.

One of the likely candidates in that race, Rep. Ro Khanna (D-CA), is speaking out in ways that fit with the overwhelming views of Democratic voters.

“I agree with the UN commission's heartbreaking finding that there is a genocide in Gaza,” he tweeted as autumn began. “What matters is what we do about it – stop military sales that are being used to kill civilians and recognize a Palestinian state.”

Consistent with that position, the California congressman was one of the score of Democrats who signed on as co-sponsors of Tlaib’s resolution the day it was introduced.

In the past, signers of such a resolution would have reason to fear the wrath — and the electoral muscle — of AIPAC, the Israel-can-do-no-wrong lobby. But its intimidation power is waning. AIPAC’s support for Israel does not represent the views of the public, a reality that has begun to dawn on more Democratic officeholders.

“With American support for the Israeli government’s management of the conflict in Gaza undergoing a seismic reversal, and Democratic voters’ support for the Jewish state dropping off steeply, AIPAC is becoming an increasingly toxic brand for some Democrats on Capitol Hill,” the New York Times reported this fall. Notably, “some Democrats who once counted AIPAC among their top donors have in recent weeks refused to take the group’s donations.”

Khanna has become more and more willing to tangle with AIPAC, which is now paying for attack ads against him.

On Thanksgiving, he tweeted about Gaza and accused AIPAC of “asking people to disbelieve what they saw with their own eyes.” Khanna elaborated in a campaign email days ago, writing: “Any politician who caves to special interests on Gaza will never stand up to special interests on corruption, healthcare, housing, or the economy. If we can’t speak with moral clarity when thousands of children are dying, we won’t stand for working Americans when corporate power comes knocking.”

AIPAC isn’t the only well-heeled organization for Israel now struggling with diminished clout. Democratic Majority for Israel, an offshoot of AIPAC that calls itself “an American advocacy group that supports pro-Israel policies within the United States Democratic Party,” is now clearly misnamed. Every bit of recent polling shows that in the interests of accuracy, the organization should change its name to “Democratic Minority for Israel.”

Yet the party’s leadership remains stuck in a bygone era. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY), the chair of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, typifies how disconnected so many party leaders are from the actual views of Democratic voters. Speaking in Brooklyn three months ago, she flatly claimed that “nine out of 10 Democrats are pro-Israel.” She did not attempt to explain how that could be true when more than seven out of 10 Democrats say Israel is guilty of genocide.

The political issue of complicity with genocide will not go away.

Last week, Amnesty International released a detailed statement documenting that “Israeli authorities are still committing genocide against Palestinians in the occupied Gaza Strip, by continuing to deliberately inflict conditions of life calculated to bring about their physical destruction.” But in Congress, almost every Republican and a large majority of Democrats remain stuck in public denial about Israel’s genocidal policies.

Such denial will be put to the electoral test in Democratic primaries next year, when most incumbents will face an electorate far more morally attuned to Gaza than they are. What easily passes for reasoned judgment and political smarts in Congress will seem more like cluelessness to many Democratic activists and voters who can provide reality checks with their ballots.