Democrats win big on Election Day 2025

Sometimes election nights can be long and suspenseful.  It was not that way last night.  Democrats won big in Erie County.

Following up on his big win in the June Democratic primary, State Senator Sean Ryan coasted to a landslide victory in his campaign for mayor of Buffalo.  Here are the numbers:

  • Ryan (Democrat, Working Families):  29,838 votes; 72 percent of the total turnout
  • James Gardner (Republican, Conservative):  9,521 votes; 23 percent
  • Michael Gainer (Independent):  1,929 votes; 5 percent

The turnout for the election was 28 percent of the city’s registered voters.  That was less than the highly contested race in 2021 when write-in incumbent candidate Byron Brown defeated the Democratic candidate India Walton with a turnout of approximately 40 percent.

Now the hard work of governing becomes the focus.  The Mayor-elect will need to staff the leadership of city departments.  Buffalo has a myriad of problems including education, housing, infrastructure, youth and senior citizen services, and public safety.  Hanging over all those issues is the impending financial crisis.  Multi-year deficits run in the tens of millions of dollars and solutions to the problems will be difficult.  Significant help from Albany will be unlikely with the state facing its’ own money problems. Cuts coming in federal assistance in such areas as community development and housing will also have a major negative effect on the city.

Erie County offices

County Comptroller Kevin Hardwick was re-elected with a landslide majority:

  • Hardwick (incumbent; Democrat, Working Families):  107,002 votes; 59 percent of the total county turnout
  • Christine Czarnik (Republican, Conservative):  74,437 votes; 41 percent

For Hardwick this is two elections in a row where the opposition threw negative ads his way.  He won by emphasizing the positive.

Erie County Sheriff John Garcia ran unopposed.  He received 110,333 votes, which was 71,276 less than the number of votes that were cast countywide in the Comptroller race.  Sheriff was the first office listed on the ballot but 71,276 voters passed on voting for Garcia.  Another 5,991 votes (5 percent of the total vote for Sheriff) were write-in votes.

All incumbent Erie County legislators were elected.

Two County Court and one Family Court judicial candidates were unopposed for election, as were two candidates for state Supreme Court in the 8th Judicial District, which includes eight counties.

Local offices

Once again all offices in the Town of Tonawanda were won by Democratic candidates under the leadership of Chairman John Crangle.

In the Town of Amherst there were very competitive elections for supervisor, two Council seats, and a Town Justice position.  Lead by Supervisor-elect Shawn Lavin the Democrats won all of them

Lavin has served eight years as a member of the Board.  Incumbent Brian Kulpa was term limited.  New Democratic Town Chairman Chuck Eaton helped steer the party’s victories.

Here are election numbers for supervisor:

  • Lavin (Democrat, Working Families): 16,383 votes; 53 percent
  • Dan Gagliardo (Republican, Conservative):  14,509 votes; 47 percent

In the Town of Cheektowaga Democrats swept all four Town Board elections.  This will restore a Democratic majority on the Town Board where, with Supervisor Brian Nowak, they will hold five of the seven seats.

In the Town of Hamburg’s three-way race for supervisor Republican Beth Farrell Lorentz held a narrow 111 seat lead at the end of the evening.  There are likely some absentee votes remaining to be counted.  The race will likely see a recount.

The Republican Party’s June primary left Councilmember Farrell Lorentz as the party’s candidate for supervisor but the man she defeated in the primary by 22 votes, Josh Collins, ran a write-in campaign in November

Here are the Hamburg numbers for supervisor:

  • Reynolds:  6,854 votes; 42.69 percent
  • Farrell Lorentz:  6,965 votes; 43.38 percent
  • Write-in (perhaps mostly votes for Collins):  2,238 votes; 13.94 percent

In the rest of Erie County there were dozens of uncontested elections.

Coming attractions

2026 will be a big political year in the state with elections for governor, lt. governor, attorney general, and comptroller as well as all 213 seats in the state Legislature.  Besides that the switch to even-numbered election years for most local offices in the state will add dozens of names to the ballot.

First up in 2026 will be a special election for state Senator in the 61st District, the seat that Sean Ryan will vacate as he becomes mayor.  Governor Kathy Hochul must call the special election within the first ten days of January.  The election will be held near the end of February.

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Kat and Zo’s affordability goooooaaaals

Gov. Kathy Hochul joined New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani in announcing free fan events hosted across the five boroughs.

DAYS THE BUDGET IS LATE: 27

FREE KICKS: After days of headlines about exorbitant costs to get to the World Cup, Gov. Kathy Hochul and Mayor Zohran Mamdani on Monday unveiled a series of free watch parties in each borough.

The public events are a sign that the Democrats, who appeared together at Staten Island University Hospital Community Park, are trying to make the tournament affordable for fans who can’t afford to watch in person.

“Every fan should be able to watch the greatest tournament on earth without dipping into their savings,” said Mamdani, who attended the 2010 World Cup in South Africa.

Several of the events, dotted around the city, will have daily programming, even when matches aren’t being played.

Hochul has worried the high fares New Jersey Transit is charging to get fans to matches at MetLife Stadium will throw “cold water” on the tournament. She said that while MetLife will only fit 80,000 people, “this moment belongs to millions of New Yorkers.”

“If you can’t get to the World Cup, the World Cup is coming to you,” she said.

The announcement comes amid heightened security concerns because of several overlapping events, including a naval review President Donald Trump is likely to attend on July 4.

At the press conference, Mamdani used a question about security concerns to denounce this weekend’s attempted attack at the White House Correspondents Dinner, saying there’s “no room for this kind of political violence.”

“What we saw at the press correspondents dinner is one part of a very troubling reality across this country, which is how political violence has become part of our politics,” he said. “It is something that we are taking into consideration whenever we are planning anything in our city.”

The World Cup events took years of planning. Hochul has also announced other events upstate. And New Jersey is rolling out events in each of its 21 counties.

Mamdani teased further events in the city, including Department of Transportation “watch parties,” despite a moratorium on certain public events in parks that came at the request of the NYPD amid staffing concerns. — Ry Rivard

From the Capitol

Gov. Kathy Hochul released a video today promoting her pied-à-terre tax plan targeting ultra-wealthy second-home owners.

PIED-À-PUSH: Hochul adopted some populist rhetoric with a video released today pitching her pied-à-terre tax plan as one that impacts “billionaires and oligarchs.”

The language is striking for a governor who has opposed broader tax hikes like raising rates on income for rich New Yorkers and large corporations.

Yet Hochul is contending with sustained left-flank pressure to raise those taxes in the state budget, which is now nearly a month late.

The governor’s proposal, which would apply an annual surcharge on non-primary New York City residences worth $5 million and more, is expected to generate some $500 million. The money would help close a $5.4 billion city budget gap.

In her explainer video, Hochul asserts the surcharge would affect investors who “are not paying some of the same taxes as the people who live here year round.” It’s worth noting, though, that these owners are paying city property taxes.

Business leaders, including the Real Estate Board of New York and the Partnership for New York City, are concerned that the tax would hinder investment in the city. Nick Reisman

SEE MY VEST: State Capitol security personnel have started wearing tactical vests — a move the State Police said was done as “a proactive safety measure.”

State Police spokesperson Beau Duffy told Playbook on Monday that the introduction of ballistic vest carriers, which are designed to hold armor plates, at the Capitol complex isn’t connected to a specific incident or threat.

The change comes as the state Capitol and surrounding state office buildings have tightened security in recent months, which includes a visible State Police presence at entrances. Nick Reisman

PAY DELAY PERK: A new bill would let state legislators stop paying their personal utility bills whenever there’s a late budget.

The measure from Assemblymember Larinda Hooks would allow state workers and “elected officials” whose checks are delayed due to a delinquent spending plan to immediately stop paying their utility and internet bills. Under the legislation, they would not have to resume payments until two months after the budget is passed.

Practically every state employee has been paid since lawmakers missed the March 31 budget deadline — that’s why members have passed seven budget extenders.

The one exception? State legislators, who are statutorily barred from collecting checks until the oft-tardy spending plan is finalized.

“It’s clear who the main beneficiaries of this bill are,” Assembly Minority Leader Ed Ra said. “There hasn’t been a situation in recent memory where state employees had paychecks withheld as a result of a late budget.”

Hooks’ office did not return a request for comment.

Senate Finance Chair Tom O’Mara characterized the bill as “one of the most ridiculous ideas I’ve ever heard.”

“These legislators that are worried about not paying their utility bill while the budget’s late should be worried about lowering peoples’ utility bills,” O’Mara said. “Everything we do around here makes them more expensive.” — Bill Mahoney

DOH STEPS UP: As the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention scales back its testing for pathogens, the state Department of Health said today it’s stepping in to fill the gap. The state’s Wadsworth Center will take on testing paused by the CDC, a role it’s already been filling for 23 states that lack the resources to test pathogens.

The state lab announced that it’s now working with the CDC on testing for viruses such as influenza, pox and rabies. The Health Department noted that a pause in testing by the CDC has created a public health risk across the country, particularly for states that don’t have the necessary resources for robust testing. The CDC did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

“The New York State Department of Health’s Wadsworth Center stands at the forefront of innovation, protecting the health of New Yorkers and communities far beyond the State’s borders,” State Health Commissioner James McDonald said in a statement. “Under the leadership of Governor Hochul, New York State continues to lead in disease surveillance – work that is critical to responding effectively to public health threats.”

Read more here in POLITICO Pro from Katelyn Cordero.

FROM CITY HALL

Council Member Nantasha Williams (right) serves as the body's deputy speaker and is part of Council Speaker Julie Menin's (left) leadership team.

BREAKING RANKS: A key member of the City Council Progressive Caucus has quietly resigned from the bloc, a departure that comes amid a wider rift between the chamber’s lefties and Council Speaker Julie Menin.

Council Member Nantasha Williams, who serves as the body’s deputy speaker and is part of Menin’s leadership team, stepped down from the Progressive Caucus last week, a spokesperson told Playbook. The spokesperson suggested serving on the caucus is incompatible with Williams’ leadership responsibilities, given she has “shifted to supporting priorities across the full Council alongside the speaker.”

In a statement, Williams confirmed she left “to focus on my broader leadership role in the Council.” Despite departing, she said she remains committed to the “values” of the caucus.

“I look forward to continuing to partner with colleagues to advance shared priorities for New Yorkers,” said Williams, who has served as deputy speaker since Menin tapped her for the post in January.

Council Members Sandy Nurse and Tiffany Cabán, the Progressive Caucus’ co-chairs, lauded Williams for her “years of service within our caucus.”

“Her decision to step back due to the new structural expectations that come alongside her role within Council leadership is not an easy one, but it is understandable,” they said. “We will continue to advocate for budget justice and the protection of civil liberties, which are our shared priorities. We hope to do so in continued partnership with our deputy speaker.”

Williams’ exit leaves the Progressive Caucus with 23 members, most of whom are aligned with Mamdani. That puts the caucus just shy of a majority in the 51-member Council.

Menin, a more moderate Democrat, has increasingly embraced her role as a foil to Mamdani, clashing with him over how to address the city’s budget deficit and other policy matters.

Given their alignment with Mamdani, Progressive Caucus members have also had more frequent clashes lately with Menin.

A recent example: Last week, Progressive Caucus leaders praised Mamdani for vetoing a bill that would permit the NYPD to set up buffer zones outside educational facilities during protests.

By contrast, Menin, a key supporter of the bill, condemned the veto and signaled she might try to whip votes to override Mamdani to force the legislation into law. Despite still being a Progressive Caucus member at the time, Williams voted for the school buffer zone bill when it first passed the Council in late March.

In an X post on Friday, Cabán, the caucus co-chair, encouraged her colleagues to vote against any override attempt by Menin.

“I trust that my colleagues will sustain this veto so that we can protect our civil liberties and work together to address the root causes of hate violence,” Cabán wrote. Menin would almost certainly need the support of a handful of Progressive Caucus members to pull off a successful override of the mayor’s veto of the protest-related bill. — Chris Sommerfeldt

SUCCESS HEADS TO SUNSHINE STATE: New York City’s largest charter network announced Monday that it will open five elementary schools in Miami next year, marking its first expansion outside of New York.

Success Academy will co-locate with five schools across Miami-Dade County, specifically Hialeah-Miami Lakes Senior High School, Homestead Senior High School, Miami Jackson Senior High School, North Miami Senior High School and Westland Hialeah Senior High School.

The schools are slated to open during the 2027-28 school year, serving 1,500 students in kindergarten through first grade, according to a Success spokesperson. They will add an additional grade each year.

“Success Academy is excited to bring our proven, high-quality educational model to Miami’s families,” Eva Moskowitz, Success founder and CEO, said in a statement. “We look forward to serving these communities, partnering with parents and delivering on the promise of an exceptional education for every child.” Madina Touré

IN OTHER NEWS

ALL BETS ARE OFF: Attorney General Letitia James sued cryptocurrency exchanges that allow users to trade, joining the fight over federal and state regulations for prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. (Gothamist)

THAT’S NOT FAIR: The Montgomery County fair promoted a post by Republican congressional candidate Anthony Constantino, whose company has sponsored the fair, urging people to sign nominating petitions to get him on the ballot. (Times Union)

ON SECOND THOUGHT: New York City’s public school system announced it was pulling controversial plans to open an AI-focused high school and to relocate three middle schools following community backlash. (POLITICO Pro)

Missed this morning’s New York Playbook? We forgive you. Read it here.

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