Trump’s tariff-driven market crash, briefly explained

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on April 7, 2025, in New York City. | Spencer Platt/Getty Images

This story appeared in The Logoff, a daily newsletter that helps you stay informed about the Trump administration without letting political news take over your life. Subscribe here.

Welcome to The Logoff: Today I’m focusing on the economic fallout from Donald Trump’s tariffs, as the consequences of the president’s largely unchecked power are becoming clearer and more alarming.

What’s the latest? After more losses today, the Dow is down more than 4,000 points since Trump rolled out his tariffs on Wednesday afternoon. The markets last dropped like this in 2020, when the economy was being systematically shut down to fight Covid-19.

What’s next? The 10 percent, across-the-board tariffs took effect Saturday. The targeted, higher tariffs on specific nations go into effect April 9.

And more tariffs could be coming. After China threatened to retaliate against Trump’s new tariffs with a 34 percent tax on US goods, the president threatened an additional 50 percent tariffs on Chinese goods unless Beijing pulls back. It’s the latest sign Trump’s tariffs have started a global trade war.

Can anyone stop Trump’s tariffs? A handful of Senate Republicans are backing a bill that would curtail Trump’s authority to impose tariffs without Congress’s blessing. But even with all the Democrats on board, the legislation doesn’t have enough support to override Trump’s promised veto and seems unlikely to become law. 

What’s the big picture? Even before Trump took office, observers debated whether his talk of massive tariffs was a bluff or a blueprint. It seems investors were betting on the former, and now that the tariffs are going into effect, the financial shocks are real.

How bad is this going to get? That depends largely on Trump. He has said that other nations are sending teams to negotiate, which means there’s still a chance that some of the tariffs could be canceled. But if any significant chunk of those taxes moves forward, economists predict higher prices and slow economic growth — if not an outright recession.

And with that, it’s time to log off…

If you’re in need of a distraction, let me point you to this incredible livestream of a bald eagle nest — complete with two eaglets — in California’s Big Bear Valley. (And thanks very much to the reader who emailed to suggest this!) If the market upheaval has you wondering what to do, my colleague Allie Volpe has a great piece about how to start an emergency fund for tough times. Thanks so much for reading. See you back here tomorrow.

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Trump mocked as ‘historic’ Gaza peace plan missing ‘vital’ piece



President Donald Trump stood with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and announced a new ceasefire proposal and peace plan, but critics couldn't help but notice it's missing some critical pieces — namely, that a key party is missing.

Steve Herman, executive director at the Jordan Center for Journalism Advocacy and Innovation, quoted Trump's comment, "Everyone else has accepted it."

"Except Hamas, according to President Trump, explaining his plan calls for a 'Board of Peace' to be headed by himself," said Herman.

It prompted national security lawyer Bradly P. Moss to remark, "So, you know, a peace plan missing a vital party."

"The new official Trump plan for Gaza. Quite a few things to parse out, including accountability mechanisms, who actually makes up the stabilisation force, and what mandate they would have," said Dr. H.A. Hellyer, a geopolitics and security expert on the Middle East and Europe at the Royal United Services Institute for Defence and Security Studies.

Even senior Washington Examiner writer David Harsanyi had questions: "This plan has been tried more than once. Palestinians have never been able to meet #1."

Bloomberg's Washington Correspondent Josh Wingrove couldn't help but notice that the plan, "previously described as a '21-point plan,'" now "includes 20 points and an image of proposed withdrawals."

"The points include a call for Gaza's governance to be supervised by a 'Board of Peace' - chaired by Trump himself," added Wingrove.

White House columnist Niall Stanage, at "The Hill," also questioned, "It runs to 20 points but how will point 1 — upon which all else may hinge — be defined or verified and by whom?"

"If Trump is to be the head of the newly established transitional administration in Gaza, it means Gaza is becoming a mandate of the USA. Blair is the Mandate Governor," observed Tuğçe Varol, an academic working on Russian and Turkish foreign policy.


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