Some facts, observations, and heard-on-the-streets

We are heading into the final stretch before Primary Election Day 2025.  There are also a few things happening on the national scene that could have a major impact on state and local governments.

Here are some facts, observations, and heard-on-the-streets concerning federal, state, and local government and politics:

  • The Republican majority in the House of Representatives recently enacted their “big, beautiful bill” which is designed to make the rich much richer.  Minor to no benefits for most others.
  • The bill will, among other things, makes hundreds of billions of dollars in cuts to Medicaid, taking away health coverage for millions of Americans; produces residual damage to Medicare because the bill increases the national debt by more than $3 trillion; and takes away SNAP nutrition benefits from children and adults.
  • The bill will eliminate all sorts of federal funding for such things as senior meals and food banks; aid for education; and programs for kids and seniors.
  • On a local level it will ratify Elon Musk’s chainsaw cuts large and small from the things like the $15 million clean energy project in Medina to smaller things like cuts to local communities for senior services.  A resolution proposed at a recent Hamburg Town Board meeting objecting to such cuts was modified by Republicans on the Board to simply honoring Older Americans Month.
  • Western New York members of the House Claudia Tenney and Nick Langworthy enthusiastically endorsed all of these actions as part of Republican efforts to eliminate “waste, fraud, and abuse.”
  • The new state budget mostly avoided dealing directly with possible federal cuts that may wreak havoc on that budget.  The budget may need to be revised later in the year.  State budget problems usually have a way of trickling down to local governments and school districts.
  • The state Legislature will be wrapping up its 2025 session on June 12.  It appears that no major issues will be taken up before then.
  • Erie County faces some major program and financial decisions as it considers options for reorganizing correctional operations.  The costs for centralizing services in Alden exceed $400 million.  Operating procedures will be incredibly complicated and will be drastically changed under the plan recently released.  A major part of the costs will be ameliorated by reductions in annual operating expenses.  It is not something that the public will cheer but involves some basic state-mandated services that cannot be ignored.
  • Sheriff John Garcia is asking for two new positions in his department to handle “transparency” issues.  That’s one way to address such pesky things as Freedom of Information Law requests.  Many such requests are simply stalled or denied, so why the extra staff?  If he is interested in improving the transparency in his office the Sheriff might want to explain when he first learned about D.J. Granville’s vehicle accidents and why he (the Sheriff) took no disciplinary action earlier, like in April 2024 when it all took place.
  • The approved 2025-2026 Buffalo budget is structurally unbalanced, meaning that operating revenues and operating expenses do not match.  That is one of the criteria in the state Public Authorities Law for having the Buffalo Fiscal Stability Authority (BFSA) move from an advisory to a control period.  The Authority is short a chairman and two other members.
  • The city administration is looking to sell $30 million in deficit financing bonds to deal with any major delays or problems in getting their new Parking Authority up and running.  The BFSA could do such financing at a lower rate.
  • The TV ad war between Chris Scanlon and Sean Ryan is in full gear with early voting starting in just eleven days.  The ads will play a part in determining who the next mayor will be but the most critical element for the mayoral candidates will be how large and effective their ground game is, identifying favorable voters and getting them to the polls.
  • WIVB-TV will host a mayoral debate and town hall type forum this evening starting at 7 pm.  Kudos to the station for setting up the program.  The unavoidable problem is that having five candidates on the stage will make it hard for anyone to distinguish themselves from the others.
  • The way things are shaping up there will also be a five-candidate field for mayor in November.  Scanlon and Garnell Whitfield have filed independent petitions.  Michael Gainer also submitted independent petitions.  Sean Ryan has the Working Families Party line.  Republican James Gardner will also be a candidate.
  • The Republican primary for Amherst supervisor has the two candidates actively engaged.  One of them, Dennis Hoban, has outfitted a pickup truck with his signs, parking it in various locations on Main Street in Williamsville.  One day he scored a parking spot right in front of D’Avolio, a restaurant owned by his opponent Dan Gagliardo.
  • Hoban has the Conservative Party endorsement, guaranteeing him a spot on the November ballot even if he loses the Republican primary.
  • The New York Times’ The Athletic yesterday had an extensive report on the Buffalo Sabres’ playoff drought, including a particularly negative review of the work of General Manager Kevyn Adams.  Here is a link to the article:  https://share.google/AhdOdOuRhn6pGACVk
  • Three cheers for the three-peat NLL champion Buffalo Bandits.  Now if only the Buffalo Bills could get over that Super Bowl hump.

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‘Nightmare scenario’: Analysis warns Supreme Court may ‘clear path’ for one-party rule



A Democratic voting rights group was "sounding the alarm" Wednesday, warning of a "nightmare scenario" wherein the U.S. Supreme Court could "clear the path for a one-party system" and give Republicans control of Congress.

The high court is slated to rehear Louisiana v. Callais on Oct. 15, and in a new Politico report, Fair Fight Action and Black Voters Matter Fund signal that removing Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act could give Republicans a path to redraw up to 19 House seats to benefit their party.

The Voting Rights Act — the landmark Civil Rights-era legislation — has been targeted by Republicans, aiming to remove this particular section, Politico reports.

The move would "clear the path for a one-party system where power serves the powerful and silences the people,” Black Voters Matter Fund co-founder LaTosha Brown said in a statement.

The ruling could also ultimately remove 30% of Congressional Black Caucus seats and 11% of Congressional Hispanic Caucus seats, according to Salon.

This could leave limited options for Democrats.

"Democrats could also find ways to use any changes to the VRA to their benefit. The party could redraw maps in heavily-blue areas with VRA protections to try and expand their margins, but there will be fewer opportunities," Politico reports.

The law has been used to offer protections against racial gerrymandering in redistricting, a topic that's become a key move ahead of midterm elections amid President Donald Trump's push to maintain GOP control in Congress, putting pressure on Republicans to redraw district lines and saying "there could very well be consequences" if they don't take action.

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‘Don’t need that!’ Top Republicans bicker over shutdown relief pay for troops



As the federal government shutdown rages on, Republicans in Congress have a new headache to worry about as House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) clashes with Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) about whether to convene to pass an emergency extension of pay for troops.

The shutdown has no end in sight, with Democrats demanding an extension of Affordable Care Act subsidies that stabilize millions of people's insurance premiums as a condition of their votes, and Republicans refusing to negotiate on this matter until the government reopens.

According to Politico, "the unusual tactical disagreement between the two top congressional leaders played out in front of cameras Tuesday on Capitol Hill as the shutdown heads into its second week."

Johnson, who has not convened the House in days, told reporters this week, “I’m certainly open to that. We’ve done it in the past. We want to make sure that our troops are paid.”

Thune, however, disagreed, saying, “Honestly, you don’t need that.”

“Obviously, there are certain constituencies — many of them are going to be impacted in a very negative way by what’s happened here. But the simplest way to end it is not try to exempt this group or that one or that group. It’s to get the government open," he added.

In Thune's view, Republicans should hold firm and not even call the House back until Democrats in the Senate agree to pass the funding bill the House already passed.

Further complicating the issue is that House Republicans have avoided swearing in Rep.-elect Adelita Grijalva (D-AZ). Grijalva is the final vote needed for a Trump-opposed bipartisan discharge petition for the House to compel the Trump administration to release the Jeffrey Epstein sex trafficking case files.

But as a consequence of the House's inaction, noted policy analyst Matthew Yglesias, this inaction is also to the GOP's detriment, as with the House gone, they are incapable of forcing messaging votes to try to shift blame for the shutdown onto Democrats.

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‘Never felt more betrayed’: MAGA rebels over Trump’s ‘treasonous’ Qatar base in Idaho



After years of advocating "America First," President Donald Trump's administration, the Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth announced on Friday, "I'm also proud that today we're signing a letter of acceptance to build a Qatari Emiri Air Force facility at the Mountain Home Airbase in Idaho."

It led to a swift meltdown from some of the president's top allies.

Constitutionalist and MAGA influencer "The General" was furious, calling it outright "treason."

"We are in the middle of rolling out military across the entire USA and then bringing in a non-NATO country military into the USA is TREASON. U.S. and Qatar sign deal to open a Qatari 'air force facility,' in the U.S., at Mountain Home Air Force Base, Idaho," he wrote on X.

"Is this what 'shared defense goals' means now — or just the latest way our politicians get paid to sell out our country?" asked Amy Mek, the editor-in-chief of RAIR, an organization that advocates for the U.S. to return to a country run by Judeo-Christian values. "Twenty-four years after foreign nationals trained in our flight schools flew planes into our buildings, our leaders are inviting their financiers to train inside our bases. This is what happens when you gut national-security training, scrub every mention of Islam, jihad, and Sharia from the manuals, and let Obama- and Biden-era bureaucrats turn counterterrorism into cultural sensitivity class. We’re being led by officials who no longer recognize or refuse to name the enemy they’re inviting into our own backyard.'

Close ally to President Trump, Laura Loomer, lamented the news after advocating that the administration declare the Muslim Brotherhood an international terrorist organization.

"Well, I guess this isn’t going to happen since we just gave the Muslim Brotherhood an air base in Idaho. So much for my decade worth of hard work trying to protect Americans from the threat of Islamic terror," said Loomer about the new base.

"No foreign country should have a military base on U.S. soil," she also said. "Especially Islamic countries. I have never felt more betrayed by the GOP than I do now watching Islamic jihadists get away with implementing Sharia law in the US and now they are getting their own airbase where they will train to kill Americans."

She went on to warn that it would make America less safe by setting up "for America to be attacked by Islamic savages from Qatar, the biggest funders of Islamic terror in the entire world. So much so, the Saudis and Emiratis find Qatar to be TOXIC. I need to see how much more of my life I am going to dedicate to a party that won’t address the threat of Islam in the West. The betrayal stings. WE ARE LOSING OUR COUNTRY!"

Content creator and influencer Red Eagle Politics denied the reporting.

"We aren’t giving Argentina a free $20 Billion handout, and we aren’t building an Air Force Base for Qatar in Idaho. The amount of dishonest lunacy on this app is reaching new heights," he wrote on X.

Utah state Sen. Nate Blouin, a Democrat, pointed out that Idaho Republicans "have been crowing about" legislation similar to that his state enacted "blocking foreign ownership of land in their state."

Dan Caldwell, former senior advisor to Hegseth, wrote on X that it wasn't that big of a deal.

"The freak out around this is of course totally unwarranted since this is actually a pretty common practice with countries that buy and operate a lot of U.S. military aircraft. Singapore has a similar facility and detachment for its F-15 training unit at this very same airbase," he said.

Caldwell is one of the DOD aides who was forced out amid Hegseth's Signalgate scandal. He has denied any wrongdoing.