Trainwreck Kinda Daily: NBA Round One Preview!

Round one is upon us! I’m here to make my official picks so that when I go 8-0 I have proof. Check out Happy Hour Hoops, our NBA podcast below, and skip ahead to 45:00 in the video/podcast for the start of our breakdown on the show. The still shot for YouTube perfectly describes the chaos.

Now for my picks!

#1 Milwaukee Bucks vs #8 Miami

#2 Boston Celtics vs #7 Atlanta Hawks

#3 Philadelphia 76ers vs #6 Brooklyn Nets

#1 Denver Nuggets vs #8 Minnesota Timberwolves 

Advance the higher seeds and don’t even think twice about it. Bucks in 5. Nuggets in 5. Celtics in 4. 

You might question Philly here. Don’t. Brooklyn is 11-13 since the deadline. Middy God Bridges might steal a game from the team who traded him on his draft night but don’t overthink it. Sixers in 5. 

The rest of the series will be ranked by how much fun they will be. To watch, to talk about, to read about, to meme about. You like fun, don’t you? 

#2 Memphis Grizzlies vs #7 Los Angeles Lakers 

Now we’re talking. The Lakers won against Minnesota on Tuesday in a game, let’s just say, not many were fond of staying up late to watch. 

Memphis has been through a season of turmoil. You all know about the Ja situation. They’ll be without Steven Adams and Brandon Clarke, leaving a gaping hole in their interior defense. They still have Dillon Brooks. Everything’s trending down. 

Meanwhile, the Lakers are 21-11 in 32 of the last 35 games. What’s the commonality in those games? 

A) the trade deadline passed 

B) Anthony Davis returned 

There was a slight SNAFU when LeBron got hurt right after the deadline, but Davis has been so damn good and the trades reinforced their roster to create a legitimate contender. 

No, I’m not picking against LeBron James in favor of the guy suing a teenager. 

Lakers in 6. 

#3 Sacramento Kings vs #6 Golden State Warriors

No lie, I started writing Golden State as the 3 seed before correcting myself, which perfectly describes the vibe of this series. 

Sacramento is the best story in the NBA, snapping professional sports’ longest playoff drought (we won’t talk about who now owns it). They’re the league’s highest-scoring team. Sabonis and Fox are legitimate MVP and All-NBA candidates. They have one of the deepest rosters in the NBA and their coach was Steve Kerr’s right-hand man, theoretically knowing the ins and outs of the Warriors’ schemes. 

And on the flip side, Golden State was inconsistent all year, barely won 10 games on the road and started the season with two players with hundreds of millions of dollars punching one another. It’s been a mess. 

The bright spot for this series is that Andrew Wiggins will return, after missing time to care for his father as he’s been ill. But Wiggins’ first game action in months is game 1 and they need him to return to last year’s form, when he was legitimately Robin to Curry’s Batman en route to a championship. 

The Kings have had a resurgence and one of the best regular seasons in franchise history. The Warriors have had one of their most dramatic seasons, from start to finish. 

I can’t believe that I’m doing this. 

But I’m taking the Sacramento Kings in 7 games. 

#4 Cleveland Cavaliers vs #5 New York Knicks

My favorite team of all time against my mortal enemies: New York City franchises (except the Mets, LGM). 

The Cavs are one of the best teams in the NBA statistically but they have one Achilles heel. Their 3-point defense. They are bottom 10 in the NBA in defending the 3-ball. It’s been an issue all year. 

They have had great metrics because it’s almost impossible to score at the rim against them due to Mobley and Allen, but it’s a distinct weakness that good teams will take advantage of in a series. 

But unfortunately for New York, Julius Randle will most likely miss the start of the series. Jalen Brunson has been incredible and is a true lead guard, but it’s a lot to ask of him to take on Mitchell/Mobley/Garland/Allen carrying the scoring load himself. 

That’s no knock on Immanuel Quickley who’s going to get a BAG this summer. But the combo of Quickley/Toppin/Barrett/Robinson doesn’t feel like enough to keep up with Garland/Mobley/Allen/Okoro if Mitchell and Brunson cancel each other out as scorers. 

And to be honest, it’s not going to be a cancel-out situation. This is Donovan Mitchell’s series. Facing his hometown Knicks, a year after he thought he would be traded there, it’s time to make a statement. 

I expect greatness from Mitchell and I expect more consistency from the Cavs’ supporting cast than I do the Knicks (with or without Randle). Cavs in 6. 

#4 Phoenix Suns vs #5 Los Angeles Clippers 

If Paul George were healthy, this would be a closer series. 

But the fact is the Clippers will miss him immensely when trying to defend Durant and Booker. Even with Kawhi (who’s not the same defender he used to be), they are going to struggle to stop the Suns. Why? Because everyone has. 

The Suns are damn near unbeatable it seems with Kevin Durant on the roster. 

The Clippers are deep, well-coached and have a Finals MVP carrying the scoring load. They’re not going down without a fight. 

But I think the Suns are going to overwhelm them, a theme for the next couple of months. 

Suns in 5.

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This Trumpist threat proved itself a danger — now it’s forming again



By Alexander Lowie, Postdoctoral associate in Classical and Civic Education, University of Florida

Stewart Rhodes, the founder of the Oath Keepers, a far-right militia, announced in November 2025 that he will relaunch the group after it disbanded following his prison sentence in 2023.

Rhodes was sentenced to 18 years in prison for seditious conspiracy and other crimes committed during the U.S. Capitol riot on Jan. 6, 2021.

In January 2025, President Donald Trump granted clemency to the over 1,500 defendants convicted of crimes connected to the storming of the Capitol.

Trump did not pardon Rhodes — or some others found guilty of the most serious crimes on Jan. 6. He instead commuted Rhodes’ sentence to time served. Commutation only reduces the punishment for a crime, whereas a full pardon erases a conviction.

As a political anthropologist I study the Patriot movement, a collection of anti-government right-wing groups that include the Proud Boys, Oath Keepers and Moms for Liberty. I specialize in alt-right beliefs, and I have interviewed people active in groups that participated in the Capitol riot.

Rhodes’ plans to relaunch the Oath Keepers, largely composed of current and former military veterans and law enforcement officers, is important because it will serve as an outlet for those who have felt lost since his imprisonment. The group claimed it had more than 40,000 dues-paying members at the height of its membership during Barack Obama’s presidency. I believe that many of these people will return to the group, empowered by the lack of any substantial punishment resulting from the pardons for crimes committed on Jan. 6.

In my interviews, I’ve found that military veterans are treated as privileged members of the Patriot movement. They are honored for their service and military training. And that’s why I believe many former Oath Keepers will rejoin the group – they are considered integral members.

Their oaths to serving the Constitution and the people of the United States are treated as sacred, binding members to an ideology that leads to action. This action includes supporting people in conflicts against federal agencies, organizing citizen-led disaster relief efforts, and protesting election results like on Jan. 6. The members’ strength results from their shared oath and the reverence they feel toward keeping it.

Who are the Oath Keepers?

Rhodes joined the Army after high school and served for three years before being honorably discharged after a parachuting accident in 1986. He then attended the University of Nevada and later graduated from Yale Law School in 2004. He founded the Oath Keepers in 2009.

Oath Keepers takes its name from the U.S military Oath of Enlistment, which states:

“I do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will support and defend the Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign and domestic; that I will bear true faith and allegiance to the same; and that I will obey the orders of the President of the United States …”

Informed by his law background, Rhodes places a particular emphasis on the part of the oath that states they will defend the Constitution against all enemies, foreign and domestic.

He developed a legal theory that justifies ignoring what he refers to as “unlawful orders” after witnessing the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina. Following the natural disaster, local law enforcement was assigned the task of confiscating guns, many of which officers say were stolen or found in abandoned homes.

Rhodes was alarmed, believing that the Second Amendment rights of citizens were being violated. Because of this, he argued that people who had military or law enforcement backgrounds had a legal duty to refuse what the group considers unlawful orders, including any that violated constitutionally protected rights, such as the right to bear arms.

In the Oath Keepers’ philosophy, anyone who violates these rights are domestic enemies to the Constitution. And if you follow the orders, you’ve violated your oath.

Explaining the origin of the group on the right-wing website The Gateway Pundit in November 2025, Rhodes said: “We were attacked out of the gate, labeled anti-government, which is absurd because we’re defending the Constitution that established the federal government. We were labeled anti-government extremists, all kinds of nonsense because the elites want blind obedience in the police and military.”

Rebuilding and restructuring

In 2022, the nonprofit whistleblower site Distributed Denial of Secrets leaked more than 38,000 names on the Oath Keepers’ membership list.

The Anti-Defamation League estimated that nearly 400 were active law enforcement officers, and that more than 100 were serving in the military. Some of these members were investigated by their workplaces but never disciplined for their involvement with the group.

Some members who were not military or law enforcement did lose their jobs over their affiliation. But they held government-related positions, such as a Wisconsin alderman who resigned after he was identified as a member.

This breach of privacy, paired with the dissolution of the organization after Rhodes’ sentencing, will help shape the group going forward.

In his interview with The Gateway Pundit, where he announced the group’s relaunch, Rhodes said: “I want to make it clear, like I said, my goal would be to make it more cancel-proof than before. We’ll have resilient, redundant IT that makes it really difficult to take down … And I want to make sure I get – put people in charge and leadership everywhere in the country so that, you know, down the road, if I’m taken out again, that it can still live on under good leadership without me being there.”

There was a similar shift in organizational structure with the Proud Boys in 2018. That’s when their founder, Gavin McInnes, stepped away from the organization. His departure came after a group of Proud Boys members were involved in a fight with anti-fascists in New York.

Prosecutors wanted to try the group as a gang. McInnes, therefore, distanced himself to support their defense that they weren’t in a gang or criminal organization. Ultimately, two of the members were sentenced to four years in prison for attempted gang assault charges.

Some Proud Boys members have told me they have since focused on creating local chapters, with in-person recruitment, that communicate on private messaging apps. They aim to protect themselves from legal classification as a gang. It also makes it harder for investigators or activist journalists to monitor them.

This is referred to as a cell style of organization, which is popular with insurgency groups. These groups are organized to rebel against authority and overthrow government structures. The cell organizational style does not have a robust hierarchy but instead produces smaller groups. They all adhere to the same ideology but may not be directly associated.

They may have a leader, but it’s often acknowledged that they are merely a figurehead, not someone giving direct orders. For the Proud Boys, this would be former leader Enrique Tarrio. Proud Boys members I’ve spoken to have referred to him as a “mascot” and not their leader.

Looking ahead

So what does the Rhodes interview indicate about the future of Oath Keepers?

Members will continue supporting Trump while also recruiting more retired military and law enforcement officers. They will create an organizational structure designed to outlive Rhodes. And based on my interactions with the far-right, I believe it’s likely they will create an organizational structure similar to that of the cell style for organizing.

Beyond that, they are going to try to own their IT, which includes hosting their websites and also using trusted online revenue generators.

This will likely provide added security, protecting their membership rolls while making it more difficult for law enforcement agencies to investigate them in the future.

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