Trainwreck Kinda Daily: NBA Round One Preview!

Round one is upon us! I’m here to make my official picks so that when I go 8-0 I have proof. Check out Happy Hour Hoops, our NBA podcast below, and skip ahead to 45:00 in the video/podcast for the start of our breakdown on the show. The still shot for YouTube perfectly describes the chaos.

Now for my picks!

#1 Milwaukee Bucks vs #8 Miami

#2 Boston Celtics vs #7 Atlanta Hawks

#3 Philadelphia 76ers vs #6 Brooklyn Nets

#1 Denver Nuggets vs #8 Minnesota Timberwolves 

Advance the higher seeds and don’t even think twice about it. Bucks in 5. Nuggets in 5. Celtics in 4. 

You might question Philly here. Don’t. Brooklyn is 11-13 since the deadline. Middy God Bridges might steal a game from the team who traded him on his draft night but don’t overthink it. Sixers in 5. 

The rest of the series will be ranked by how much fun they will be. To watch, to talk about, to read about, to meme about. You like fun, don’t you? 

#2 Memphis Grizzlies vs #7 Los Angeles Lakers 

Now we’re talking. The Lakers won against Minnesota on Tuesday in a game, let’s just say, not many were fond of staying up late to watch. 

Memphis has been through a season of turmoil. You all know about the Ja situation. They’ll be without Steven Adams and Brandon Clarke, leaving a gaping hole in their interior defense. They still have Dillon Brooks. Everything’s trending down. 

Meanwhile, the Lakers are 21-11 in 32 of the last 35 games. What’s the commonality in those games? 

A) the trade deadline passed 

B) Anthony Davis returned 

There was a slight SNAFU when LeBron got hurt right after the deadline, but Davis has been so damn good and the trades reinforced their roster to create a legitimate contender. 

No, I’m not picking against LeBron James in favor of the guy suing a teenager. 

Lakers in 6. 

#3 Sacramento Kings vs #6 Golden State Warriors

No lie, I started writing Golden State as the 3 seed before correcting myself, which perfectly describes the vibe of this series. 

Sacramento is the best story in the NBA, snapping professional sports’ longest playoff drought (we won’t talk about who now owns it). They’re the league’s highest-scoring team. Sabonis and Fox are legitimate MVP and All-NBA candidates. They have one of the deepest rosters in the NBA and their coach was Steve Kerr’s right-hand man, theoretically knowing the ins and outs of the Warriors’ schemes. 

And on the flip side, Golden State was inconsistent all year, barely won 10 games on the road and started the season with two players with hundreds of millions of dollars punching one another. It’s been a mess. 

The bright spot for this series is that Andrew Wiggins will return, after missing time to care for his father as he’s been ill. But Wiggins’ first game action in months is game 1 and they need him to return to last year’s form, when he was legitimately Robin to Curry’s Batman en route to a championship. 

The Kings have had a resurgence and one of the best regular seasons in franchise history. The Warriors have had one of their most dramatic seasons, from start to finish. 

I can’t believe that I’m doing this. 

But I’m taking the Sacramento Kings in 7 games. 

#4 Cleveland Cavaliers vs #5 New York Knicks

My favorite team of all time against my mortal enemies: New York City franchises (except the Mets, LGM). 

The Cavs are one of the best teams in the NBA statistically but they have one Achilles heel. Their 3-point defense. They are bottom 10 in the NBA in defending the 3-ball. It’s been an issue all year. 

They have had great metrics because it’s almost impossible to score at the rim against them due to Mobley and Allen, but it’s a distinct weakness that good teams will take advantage of in a series. 

But unfortunately for New York, Julius Randle will most likely miss the start of the series. Jalen Brunson has been incredible and is a true lead guard, but it’s a lot to ask of him to take on Mitchell/Mobley/Garland/Allen carrying the scoring load himself. 

That’s no knock on Immanuel Quickley who’s going to get a BAG this summer. But the combo of Quickley/Toppin/Barrett/Robinson doesn’t feel like enough to keep up with Garland/Mobley/Allen/Okoro if Mitchell and Brunson cancel each other out as scorers. 

And to be honest, it’s not going to be a cancel-out situation. This is Donovan Mitchell’s series. Facing his hometown Knicks, a year after he thought he would be traded there, it’s time to make a statement. 

I expect greatness from Mitchell and I expect more consistency from the Cavs’ supporting cast than I do the Knicks (with or without Randle). Cavs in 6. 

#4 Phoenix Suns vs #5 Los Angeles Clippers 

If Paul George were healthy, this would be a closer series. 

But the fact is the Clippers will miss him immensely when trying to defend Durant and Booker. Even with Kawhi (who’s not the same defender he used to be), they are going to struggle to stop the Suns. Why? Because everyone has. 

The Suns are damn near unbeatable it seems with Kevin Durant on the roster. 

The Clippers are deep, well-coached and have a Finals MVP carrying the scoring load. They’re not going down without a fight. 

But I think the Suns are going to overwhelm them, a theme for the next couple of months. 

Suns in 5.

The post Trainwreck Kinda Daily: NBA Round One Preview! appeared first on Trainwreck Sports.

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[Essay]

Canceled Culture

When President Trump won his second election, MAGA celebrated as much a cultural victory as a political one.

Right-wing glee was met with left-wing despondency — this moment couldn’t be considered as a fluke, a grievous mistake only recognized later by an unwitting populace. Trump was the first Republican to win the popular vote since 2004; 49.8% of the country saw what this guy was offering and wanted more.

That feeling drove both sides to overinterpret Trump’s very narrow 2024 victory. The right’s decades of sneering at and secretly envying liberal cultural dominance — Hollywood! Fashion! Every musical artist, barring third-place American Idol contestants! — were over. Liberals mourned accordingly, and tech billionaires dutifully trooped to the inauguration, bearing their gold, frankincense and myrrh. 

But in the past two years, there has been no seismic shift in artistic talent to the MAGA camp. Performers cancelled their shows at the once vaunted Kennedy Center rather than be tainted by association to Trump. Prominent architects publicly shamed the firm leading the ballroom construction project. Twice as many Americans watched Bad Bunny’s halftime show as did the “All-American Halftime Show,” featuring luminaries Kid Rock and, uh, Brantley Gilbert. Popular artists frequently threaten legal action when the Trump campaign uses their music. Even podcasts, arguably the artform (I know, relax) where MAGA made the strongest inroads, have soured on the president as his popularity nosedived. 

A new slate of artists recoiled this week after their participation in a series of concerts for Trump’s celebration of the country’s 250th birthday was announced. Of the nine acts listed (most at least 20 years past their peak popularity in the first place), at least six have bowed out apologetically. 

“I’ve been blessed with the opportunity to be a voice for those who have felt like they didn’t have one,” Martina McBride said in a statement. “It greatly upsets me that any fan who has been moved by my music may now feel like I’m abandoning the meaning behind those songs. I assure you, that is not the case.”

Fascism — with its demands of conformity, propaganda, devotion to authority — stands in direct opposition to art. It’s obsessed with aesthetics but violently opposed to creativity and experimentation.  

MAGA’s central tenets of excluding non-white, non-Christian, non-heterosexual, non-male people and requiring blind loyalty to Trump inherently limit its cultural reach. That was true in the first term and remains true today.

[Rhapsody]

So, What’s the Move Here?

I was in college during the Great Recession so I emerged unscathed. You cannot lose wealth you do not possess. While others were licking their wounds, I was reveling in the undeserved confidence I had that next time, not only would I not lose money, I would make money. Tons of money. If Michael Burry can do it, I can do it. I didn’t just watch The Big Short, folks, no I even read the book. I got myself a shiny internship at Bloomberg where I covered U.S. Treasuries and learned how to use a Bloomberg Terminal.

Somehow, even with all this training, I have a dilemma. I’m pretty sure the entire economy is on the verge of collapse, sort of like when Wile E. Coyote runs off a cliff but doesn’t fall until he actually looks down. When does America look down? And how do I make sure I’m rich as hell shortly after?

Here are some concerning facts:

  • Consumer sentiment is at an all-time low
  • Thirty-year treasuries hit their highest yield since right before the financial crisis. This means fewer people are buying 30-year U.S. treasury bonds. Why? Because people are concerned about inflation and seemingly not worried about stocks.
  • Oil prices are still over $100. The national average for gas is hovering around $4.50
  • The price-to-book ratio of the S&P 500 is at an all-time high. This means the ratio of the price of a stock relative to the value of company assets has never been higher since this data was reliably tracked in 1999.
    • But only 50% of the S&P is trading above its 200-day moving average. This means about half the stocks are trending down.
  • The “bright spot” in the economy is AI, but it seems that all the AI spending is making inflation worse and inflation is clearly accelerating.
  • As TPM’s Layla A. Jones reported, Black people in America did worse economically in 2025 than at any time since the Federal Reserve began its financial wellbeing survey in 2013. Typically, unemployment hits Black Americans first and hardest, and then comes for the rest of the country. 

It certainly seems like dark times are ahead. Economically, it feels pretty stagflationy. High inflation, low growth. If inflation keeps rising, then Trump’s new Fed Chair is going to have quite the predicament when setting interest rates. Any increase to rates to tame inflation would negatively affect investment. I’m glad I don’t have that job.

But what if we put our thinking caps on and devised a plan to get rich? One of you readers out there has to have a scheme in the works, why not share it? We can all make a buck together. TPM has always been a community. If we work together, maybe we can upgrade to a gated community? How does that sound?

[This Effing Guy]

Jared Polis Confuses Censure With Censorship 

Jared Polis was spotted showing off a new accessory this week. The Colorado governor has recently taken heat for his decision to grant clemency to Tina Peters, a former county clerk and staunch Big Lie proponent who is serving prison time for helping to compromise local election systems. Democrats in Congress and in his home state roundly criticized Polis for caving to pressure for President Trump and doing a favor for an election denier, with the Colorado Democratic Party voting to censure him. Per Colorado Sun reporter Jesse Aaron Paul, Polis responded by calling into a “private, internal party call” with black tape over his mouth. 

Gov. Jared Polis, fresh off being censured by the Colorado Democratic Party for letting Tina Peters out of prison early, showed up today to a private, internal party call like this #copolitics

Jesse Aaron Paul (@jesseapaul.bsky.social) 2026-05-27T15:42:17.880Z
[Good Twetes]

The Pope vs. AI

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[Words of Wisdom]

An Interesting Ken Paxton Comp

“To call Paxton ethically challenged is to call Jeffrey Dahmer suffering from an eating disorder.” – Sen. Thom Tillis 

[In the Cafe]

What Legitimacy? 

Balls & Strikes’ Madiba K. Dennie observed that Republicans sound like they’re starting to get nervous about court expansion, holding congressional hearings on the dangers of court packing. As Dennie puts it, “Claims that Court expansion threatens the Court’s legitimacy presuppose that the Court has any legitimacy to threaten in the first place.”

[TPM Trivia]

How Much of This Week’s News Do You Remember?

1) What does Trump plan to put his likeness on despite an 1866 amendment that explicitly forbids it? 

2) What reason(s) did Republicans in South Carolina’s state senate give for again declining to move forward with redistricting ahead of the midterms? 

3) Which U.S. Senator was pepper-sprayed by ICE agents during a protest outside a detention facility? 

Answers below

[TPM in the Wild]

Appearances By Kate Riga and Josh Marshall

Kate joined Edwin Eisendrath, host of “It’s The Democracy, Stupid” on Lincoln Square Media, to talk about her reporting on the corrupt Supreme Court and proposals for court reform currently being floated on the left.

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Trivia Answers: 1) A $250 bill 2) It’s too late in the election cycle to change the maps 3) Andy Kim of New Jersey

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