The race in the 26th congressional district; Kennedy’s million dollars

Western New York seems to like congressional elections.  We like it so much that sometimes we do it three times in a congressional election year.

Consider the case of NY23 in its present design and its linear predecessors, a district which in the 2010s became like the Bermuda triangle of congressional districts. Max McCarthy held the seat for three terms in the sixties. After Jack Kemp held the seat for 18 years Bill Paxon was elected. He was a rising star in the House Republican caucus until he wasn’t and left Congress unexpectedly after five terms. Paxon was succeeded by Tom Reynolds who served for five terms and was a rising star in the House Republican caucus until he wasn’t. Then the seat bounced around.

Reynolds was succeeded by Chris Lee, but he resigned not long into his first term after a scandal.  He was succeeded for about one year when Kathy Hochul won the seat, only to lose it in a re-drawn district to Chris Collins. 

Collins held the seat for less than four terms before he became a felon for insider stock trading and resigned.  Former Governor Andrew Cuomo was slow in setting up a special election to fill the seat but one was held in 2020.  Chris Jacobs won the special election, the June Republican primary, and the November general election that year.  Jacobs lasted for one term. 

Then, after a tough primary fight with Carl Paladino, Nick Langworthy was elected the Congressman in 2022, but only after a special election selected Joseph Sempolinski as a placeholder member of Congress. NY23 had three elections that year, although the district lines were modified before the general election. There were six members of Congress in the district in 12 years.

Now in 2024 we have potentially three elections for Congress in the 26th district following the anticipated resignation early in February of Brian Higgins. Governor Kathy Hochul will call a special election for the seat within ten days of Higgins’ official resignation. The special election will be held between 70 and 80 days after the Governor makes the call.

The timetable for the special election will be short.  Following the model of the special election presently underway to succeed the expelled George Santos in NY3, here is how schedule will work:

  • From the date the Governor proclaims the special election, the political parties will have ten days to officially select their nominee.  Senator Tim Kennedy is the Democratic candidate.
  • Starting the date proclaiming the special election anyone wishing to run in the special election as an independent candidate will have approximately two weeks to circulate and file petitions to run in the election.  At least 3,500 valid signatures will be needed.  Former congressional candidate Nate McMurray has told the Buffalo News that he will run in the special election.
  • Early voting will be held for nine days prior to the election.
  • The date of the election will occur in the latter part of April.

If Kennedy is elected to serve the remainder of Higgins’ term, McMurray could also challenge him in the June primary and/or the general election.

Alan Bedenko recently posted (https://buffalopundit.com/) a great article detailing McMurray’s political activities.

Kennedy’s million

State Senator Tim Kennedy is a fundraising powerhouse.  His campaign account as a state Senator was far larger than any other member of the Legislature.  Now that he is leaving the Legislature for the congressional race he has been disbursing a large part of his state account treasury to 41 statewide and local political Democratic committees and candidates, some of which may be able to assist him in getting elected in NY26.  The six month total was $421,906.

Here is a list of the top recipients of funds that Kennedy has distributed over the past six months:

  • New York State Democratic Committee  $209,165
  • Democratic State Senate Campaign Committee $100,000
  • Erie County Democratic Committee $15,000
  • Niagara County Democratic Committee $12,500
  • Erie County Democratic Chairman Jeremy Zeller’s Committee $10,000
  • Senate Majority Leader Andrea Stewart-Cousins Committee $10,000
  • Nassau County Democratic Committee $10,000
  • Amherst Democratic Committee  $5,250
  • Committees of Kathy Hochul; Mark Poloncarz; Monroe County Executive Adam Bello; Senator Mike Gianaris; Senator and Bronx County Chairman Jamaal Bailey — $5,000 each

Substantial payments were also made by Kennedy’s Committee to various consultants and law firms.  Those expenses totaled $398,576.  Here’s how that money broke down:

  • Nexus Point, located in Clarence, New York   $166,000
  • Threshold Group, a New York City based firm that does advertising, fundraising, and public affairs  $159,659
  • Hart Research Associates, a polling firm based in Washington, D.C.   $52,500
  • Perkins Coie, a D.C. law firm   $20,417

In addition, the Kennedy for Senate committee sent 85 checks totaling $41,625 to a wide variety of schools and community organizations.  The balance of the $1,063,287 that was spent over the six-month period went to pay for the usual assortment of campaign expenses.

We will not see another report about the finances of Kennedy for Senate until July 15. After all of this spending Kennedy still has $1,324,728 in his Senate account.

X/Twitter @kenkruly

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‘You lost my support’: Kristi Noem’s new justification for shooting her puppy goes badly



South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem (R) took another stab at defending her decision to shoot and kill a 14-month old puppy years ago that attacked some chickens, by citing a South Dakota law that allows animals that kill "livestock" to be put down.

Taking to X, formerly known as Twitter, the embattled Republican attempted to put out the firestorm she created by writing in her new book that she "hated" the puppy named Cricket and after an incident took it to a gravel pit and shot it while also claiming it was "worthless" as a hunting dog despite its young age.

On Sunday, she wrote, "I can understand why some people are upset about a 20 year old story of Cricket, one of the working dogs at our ranch, in my upcoming book — No Going Back. The book is filled with many honest stories of my life, good and bad days, challenges, painful decisions, and lessons learned."

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She then continued:

"What I learned from my years of public service, especially leading South Dakota through COVID, is people are looking for leaders who are authentic, willing to learn from the past, and don’t shy away from tough challenges. My hope is anyone reading this book will have an understanding that I always work to make the best decisions I can for the people in my life. The fact is, South Dakota law states that dogs who attack and kill livestock can be put down. Given that Cricket had shown aggressive behavior toward people by biting them, I decided what I did. Whether running the ranch or in politics, I have never passed on my responsibilities to anyone else to handle. Even if it’s hard and painful. I followed the law and was being a responsible parent, dog owner, and neighbor. As I explained in the book, it wasn't easy. But often the easy way isn't the right way."

That did not satisfy Noem's many internet critics.

As one put it, she seemed more invested in selling her book, writing, "Stop using you murdering your dog in cold blood to try to sell copies of your book you sicko."

That was one of the nicer responses she received.

Former FBI special agent Asha Rangappa said, "It sounds like out of at least three options 1) train the dog; 2) drive any distance to a shelter; or 3) shoot it on the spot, you literally took the easiest one."

Former Trump campaign aide A.J. Delgado called Noem a "liar."

"BTW, liar, he never 'killed' livestock -- only attacked, which every dog does (i.e., runs after them). Quit changing your story. Your career is OVER."

@OurShallowState said, "The dog frustrated you. You killed it. That wasn't a tough decision by an empathetic person. That was a weak and lazy decision by a sociopathic person. Leading in government is making the right choices. You are insensitive and impatient. Your choices suck."

Democrat Harry Sisson also weighed in.

"There is no justifying your actions. What you did was disgusting and unforgivable. Also, nobody is going to buy your damn book," he said.

Noem even lost the support of some commenting users.

@colin_fendley said, "I have been a farm owner, I have been a K9 Handler, and I have trained thousands of dogs; you can not justify this, my dear. I'm a conservative, and you lost my support."

‘He looks terrible’: Trump official warns ex-president his next six months will be worse



Donald Trump may be looking bad right now, but the next six months are going to be even worse for him, according to a former official in the ex-president's administration.

Former White House communications chief Anthony Scaramucci appeared on MSNBC's Alex Witt Reports on Saturday, where he was asked about how he thinks Trump is handling the grueling schedule that accompanies his criminal trial and presidential campaign. He has previously warned Trump about a financial "avalanche" that is going to hit him.

On MSNBC Saturday, the host asked Scaramucci about how Trump, who is used to drinking "up to a dozen" Diet Cokes per day, is doing.

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"I mean, this guy is eight years older than he was when you were spending that kind of time with him," the host added.

Scaramucci replied, "You know, he looks terrible."

"I mean, who is kidding who? The question, though, is what is going to be the aftermath of this? ... he probably doesn't go to jail. Let's say the worst thing happens to him, he will probably be confined. I don't think they would put a former president in jail, he'd probably end up with an embarrassing ankle bracelet and will have to campaign over Zoom for a period of time. But, it is embarrassing."

Scaramucci went on to say the "real question" is, "How is this man still standing for president? And what does it say about you if you are supporting Mr. Trump at this moment in U.S. history?"

"I would really caution people about all of this. I think the next six months for Mr. Trump are going to be worse for him than the prior six months."

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