Some facts, observations, and heard-on-the-streets

The weather is beginning to look like fall.  The Bills: 4 wins and 2 losses is not bad. The other good news:  just three weeks until Election Day.

Here are some facts, observations, and heard-on-the-streets:

  • I am not impartial about such things, but my years of experience with politics make me think that while some Republican politicos built a Donald Trump for President campaign that looks good on paper, the reality is that the candidate himself is unraveling badly.  He just cannot escape rehashing his grievances from the past and throwing insults instead of talking about issues.  He has dodged another debate and an interview on 60 Minutes because he and/or his handlers realize that he will make a fool of himself.  His rambling incoherence in hours-long speeches are signs of declining cognitive abilities.
  • Even though he is running for president of the United States Trump has had time for his money-making schemes:  among them, golden sneakers, Truth Social stock, crypto, trading cards, and the Trump version of the Bible.  How ironic that a candidate who is so committed to a trade war with China had his “American” Bibles printed in China; cost $3, sales price $60.
  • Kamala Harris is not the perfect candidate.  I have, however, never seen any such person.  Her calm confidence has moved her along very well.  Granted the polling shows that everything is very close, but mostly she has been ahead in the national polls and ahead or within the margin of error in the battleground states.  Turnout will decide the election.
  • It’s going to be hard for Dems to hold the Senate with the lost West Virginia seat a foregone conclusion and very tough races in Montana and Ohio.
  • The fight for control of the House of Representatives is amazingly tight considering all the gerrymandered districts that Republicans in red states have created.  Nancy Pelosi has bemoaned the loss of seats in New York in 2022, but what about the Biden districts in California that went to the Republicans two years ago?  Democrats need to pick up a net of just four seats nationwide to retake control.  Two or three of those seats may come from New York, leaving the remainder of the country to come up the other two or three other seats that are needed.
  • You may have seen a TV commercial running dozens of times a few weeks ago with Congressman Nick Langworthy explaining the services provided by his office.  You might think it was a political ad, but there was this disclaimer in small print at the bottom of the last frames of the ad:   “Paid for by official funds authorized by the House of Representatives.”  I assume “official funds” means taxpayers’ money. I contacted the Congressman’s office a week ago to ask what the “official funds” source was; what TV markets the ad ran in; and how much it cost in total.  Langworthy’s office referred me to some House administrative person.  As of the close of business on October 14th I haven’t received a reply.
  • Democratic candidates in Erie County should benefit from the likely large turnout of voters on November 5.  As noted in a previous post, state money has been pouring in for several state legislative candidates.  The big question is whether state money is really making state legislative races more competitive.
  • Hopefully there will be a thorough review of the use of that state money.  Tens of millions are being disbursed among approximately 200 candidates.  Former Republican Assemblyman Brian Kolb, who is co-chair of the Public Campaign Finance Board, recently told Politico the state-level system “has enough ‘spot checks’ like phone calls to donors to verify their identities.  “I haven’t seen anything glaring that jumps out and says, Oh my goodness, we have a major problem here.  We’re going to have to really wait and get a final opinion about the first year of implementation because there are things you learn or things that could be tightened up.”  The program is being run in conjunction with the state Board of Elections, so how could anything possibly go wrong?
  • The race for Erie County District Attorney is getting very expensive.  As of their September 30th campaign financial filings Mike Keane has raised a total of $496,800 so far; he loaned his committee $50,000.  Republican James Gardner has raised $53,126; has contributed $75,000 to the committee; and has loaned his committee $210,000 thus far.  Gardner is part of the Butler family, the very wealthy original founders of the Buffalo Evening (sic) News.
  • Gardner is using Big Dog Strategies, headed by former local resident Chris Grant, as his media consultant.  In 2022 Grant as the campaign media consultant gave Long Island and the entire country the king of all congressional liars, George Santos.  Gardner is letting Grant speak for him about the questionable issues raised in a WGRZ story about the campaign; Gardner declined an interview request.  Why?
  • There’s a new look for the Elma Republican Committee following their recent reorganization.  The Committee elected former Erie County Comptroller Stefan Mychijliw as their Secretary.
  • While he continues to live in Erie County, Mychajliw is now the news director of a Long Island weekly (The South Shore Press) which, according to a recent story in the Investigative Post, leans far right on the political spectrum.  Among the columnists appearing in the paper is none other than George Santos, who has been evidently looking for things to do after his brief tenure in the House while he awaits sentencing for his guilty plea in a federal corruption case.
  • As if the Catholic Diocese of Buffalo didn’t need more news that might deter parishioners from donating to their churches and the Diocese, the lawyer for the Diocese in a recent appearance in Bankruptcy Court admitted that the potential value of certain parish property was a consideration in deciding which parishes to close.  The Diocese’s attorney told Judge Carl Bucki “I think that was a factor, but not a driving factor.”  “Driving factor,” I suppose, being a matter of interpretation depending upon how someone views the entire mess.
  • Apropos of the Diocese’s problems, enter singer-songwriter Paul Anka, who gave a great concert in Niagara Falls this past Friday.  In a brief monologue between songs he said that he is confused about some things in the world.  He went to confession recently to confess his sins.  In the confessional as the priest turned to him, Anka told the priest, “you go first.”

Twitter/X  @kenkruly

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‘Hope he’s listening’: Farmer makes dire plea to Trump as US ‘backbone’ risks collapse



An American farmer made a dire plea to President Donald Trump on Tuesday, saying "hope he's listening," as America's "backbone" risks collapse.

Arkansas farmer Scott Brown told CNN it's unclear how he or other agriculture producers will survive Trump's ongoing tariff war, especially as the fall harvest begins.

"I hope to break even, but I mean, we don't know," Brown said. "We're not cutting soybeans yet, and I don't know what the yield is. We're just finishing up corn. I'm a pretty low-debt-load farmer. I farm 800 acres. My equipment's all paid for. I do it all by myself. I'm a first-generation farmer, so I don't have as big of problems as a lot of the guys do. But, I mean, I have friends that farm thousands of acres, 5,000, 10,000, 11,000 acres. They've got worlds of problems. I mean, I don't know that there's any way to yield yourself out of this."

For his friends, the tariff fallout could mean losing everything.

"I don't think that the average American understands when you go down to the bank and get a crop loan, you put all your equipment up, all your equity in your ground, you put your home up, your pickup truck, everything up," he said. "And if they can't pay out and if they've rolled over any debt from last year, they're going to call the auctioneer and they're going to line everything up and they're going to sell it."

Trump is reportedly considering a potential bailout for farmers, a key Republican voting bloc. But that's not enough, Scott said.

"Well, the stopgap needs to come because they've kind of painted the farmer in a corner," he added. "I mean, I want trade, not aid. I need a market. I need a place to sell this stuff. I can work hard enough and make a product. If you give me someplace to sell it, I'll take care of myself, but they've painted us in a corner with this China deal and China buying soybeans. I mean, they've torn a market in half."

China — the biggest buyer — has made zero soybean orders this year. Instead, they've pivoted to purchasing soybeans from South American countries, including Argentina, Paraguay, and Bolivia. These countries plan to expand planting acreage for their crops and focus on planting soon for the 2025 and 2026 crops in the Southern Hemisphere.

The price per bushel of soybeans has also dropped, he added.

"The farmer can't continue to produce a crop below the cost of production. And that's where we're at. And we don't have anywhere to sell it. We're in a tariff war with China. We're in a tariff war with everybody else. I mean, where do they want me to market this stuff?" Scott asked.

This uncertainty also makes it hard to plan for 2026.

"Farming is done in a Russian roulette fashion to say a better set of words," Scott said. "If you pay out, then you get to go again. If you've got enough equity and you don't pay out, you can roll over debt. There's lots of guys farming that have between $400 and $700,000 worth of rollover debt. You know, and then and then you compound the problem with the tariffs. Look at this. When we had USAID, we provided 40% of the humanitarian food for the world. That's all grain and food bought from farmers, from vegetable farmers in the United States. The row crop farmers and grain and everything. So we abandoned that deal. And China accelerates theirs. So now I've got a tariff war that's killing my market."

He also wants the president to hear his message.

"I hope he's listening because, you know, agriculture is the backbone of rural America," Scott said. "For every dollar in agriculture, you get $8 in your rural community. I mean, we help pay taxes on schools, roads. We're the guys that keep the park store open, we're the guy that keeps the local co-op open, that 20 guys work at, and the little town I live in, we have a chicken plant, about 600 chicken houses, except for the school and the hospital. Almost our entire town of 7,000."

Agriculture is tied to everything in rural America, he explained.

"People's economy revolves around agriculture," Scott said. "I mean, I think he needs to listen. It's bigger than the farmer. It's all my friends. Whether they work in town or anything else. I mean, rural America depends on agriculture. And it doesn't matter if you're in Nebraska or you're in Arkansas."

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