Hochul: Smoke plume to worsen air quality Saturday; enhanced severe-weather risk for Western New York

July 17, 2026 — Governor Kathy Hochul and state agencies warned New Yorkers on Friday that smoke from Canadian and Minnesota wildfires, combined with hot conditions, could drive air quality down statewide Saturday while an enhanced risk for severe thunderstorms was expected across parts of Western New York.

Air-quality advisory and health guidance

The state issued an Air Quality Health Advisory for July 17 through 11:59 p.m. and forecast that a shifting wildfire smoke plume would likely cause air-quality deterioration on Saturday. The New York State Departments of Environmental Conservation (DEC) and Health (DOH) said portions of Western New York, Central New York, Eastern Lake Ontario, New York City Metro and Long Island were forecast to reach “Unhealthy” levels on July 18, while the Adirondacks and Hudson Valley regions were expected to be “Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups.”

State officials urged residents — especially people with heart or breathing conditions, older adults, children, pregnant people and those who work or exercise outdoors — to limit outdoor exertion when air quality is poor, consider shorter or less intense outdoor activities, and seek a smoke-free indoor environment when possible. The state recommended monitoring the Air Quality Index at AirNow.gov and following updates from DEC and DOH.

Masks and distribution

At the Governor’s direction, the state Division of Homeland Security and Emergency Services (DHSES) made more than 100,000 high-quality N95-style masks available to counties to help reduce smoke exposure. The release said requests came from Orleans, Oswego, Otsego, Schoharie and Warren counties, and an additional allocation was provided for distribution in the New York City area and to regional transportation hubs. Officials reported more than 40,000 masks have been distributed so far. The state also noted masks were made available at several Thruway rest stops, including Angola and others across the system.

Severe-weather threat

Forecasters placed portions of Western New York, the Finger Lakes, Central New York, the Mid-Hudson region and New York City at an Enhanced Risk for severe thunderstorms beginning Saturday, with damaging winds, large hail, heavy rain and a chance of isolated tornadoes. The release said the primary period of severe storms would be Saturday afternoon and evening, though an initial round of showers could arrive in the morning.

State officials also noted a Slight Risk for flash flooding in New York City and Long Island, and that Flood Watches had been issued for those areas. Expected widespread rainfall totals for the event were cited in the release as roughly 0.5 to 1 inch, with higher localized totals where thunderstorms produce heavier downpours.

Preparedness reminders

The Governor directed state agencies to prepare for incoming storms and urged New Yorkers to monitor National Weather Service forecasts and local alerts, stay indoors when air quality is unhealthy, and follow standard thunderstorm and tornado safety measures. The release lists typical safety guidance such as seeking sturdy shelter during lightning and thunderstorms, avoiding driving through flooded roadways, and taking shelter in interior rooms during tornado warnings.

This situation is evolving; residents should check AirNow.gov and the National Weather Service for the latest local advisories and forecasts.

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Sen. John Fetterman's increasingly independent political moves are drawing concern from Senate colleagues and raising questions about whether the Pennsylvania Democrat might eventually leave his party.

Fetterman said last week he would formally switch his party affiliation if Democrats make opposition to Israel part of their official platform — the first time he's laid out specific conditions for departing – and he pointed to recent contested primaries as evidence the party is shifting toward candidates who are "intensely anti-Israel," not just critical of its policies.

One Democratic senator, speaking anonymously to NOTUS, said, "I am concerned" about the prospect of Fetterman switching parties unexpectedly.

Fetterman has also set up a joint fundraising committee with Republican Sen. Dave McCormick (R-PA), an arrangement that struck colleagues as unusual. Sen. Chris Van Hollen (D-MD) said he'd "never seen it before." Rep. Chris Deluzio (D-PA), a progressive who has left open the possibility of challenging Fetterman in 2028, called the move "crazy stuff," arguing it helps Republicans in battleground Pennsylvania races.

Fetterman brushed off the arrangement as "nothing sinister," rooted in shared state interests, and fired back at Deluzio over the congressman's earlier campaign donation to Graham Platner, the Maine Senate candidate who dropped out amid a sexual assault allegation he denies.

The senator has increasingly clashed with his party over Israel, the Iran war, and border security, and recently expressed regret for once calling to eliminate the filibuster, praising former Sens. Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema for opposing its removal.

His standing among Pennsylvania Democrats has slipped sharply — a Quinnipiac poll found his approval at just 19% among Democrats, with 52 percent of voters overall saying they want him to leave the party.

Adam Jentleson, Fetterman's former chief of staff, said he believes Fetterman might switch parties "in order to stay relevant," particularly if Democrats win a narrow Senate majority in November and Fetterman could become a decisive vote. Jentleson also warned Fetterman could side with Republicans on a future Supreme Court nomination.

“I think, if he is the majority-maker, he will flip, because it would give him a massive amount of attention,” said Jentleson, who last year expressed concerns about Fetterman's mental health.

Other Democrats pushed back on the switching narrative. Sen. Peter Welch noted Fetterman "votes Democratic all the time," while Sen. Martin Heinrich (D-NM) urged him to stay, saying his positions still align more with Democrats than Republicans on balance.

“I would just encourage him to stay,” Heinrich said. “I think you can have policy differences, but on balance, with the exception of one or two issues, when you look at what he cares about, I think that looks a lot more like the Democratic Party than the Republican Party. He’s always, always welcome in our caucus.”